Automated Wildlife Monitoring

Analysis and limits of inference

What the platform calculates from verified data, and where the numbers stop telling you anything.

What the platform provides

Section What it shows
Dashboard Numbers of photos, locations, working days, species; most frequent species; filters by date, institution, habitat
Relative abundance (RAI) Detections per 100 camera-days with confidence intervals
Trends Year-to-year change in a species' detection rate: Mann-Kendall test, confidence intervals
Daily activity When during the day a species is active, several species on one chart
Maps Detections of a species on a map
Area comparison Species lists, Shannon, Simpson and Jaccard indices
Data gaps Effort on the EEA grid, species detection sensitivity, GBIF data as an independent source of presence
Export Darwin Core for GBIF, Excel, aggregation of observations

Independence of detections

For abundance, all detections of a species at one location within 5 minutes count as one observation. You can choose 30 minutes or a day, but the interval must be the same in all data you compare.

Reporting

  • Charts can be saved with a transparent background and pasted into reports, including the Chronicle of Nature (Litopys pryrody). Aim to finish verification by October to November, when annual reports are prepared.
  • The Darwin Core export can be imported into GBIF directly.

Limits of inference

"Not detected" does not mean "absent"

How many camera-days are needed before a non-detection means something (95 % confidence, calculated at locations where the species occurred, so this is a lower bound):

Species Camera-days
Roe deer ~24
Wild boar ~67
Wolf ~120
Lynx ~180
Wildcat ~230
Marten ~380
Polecat ~470

So "there is no lynx here" after one camera working for a month means nothing.

Neighbouring days are not independent

If an animal was recorded today, the chance of recording it tomorrow is three times higher than average. For detection estimates, a camera-week is a better unit than a camera-day.

Warning: the "Data gaps" page shows where effort is too low, but it does not replace occupancy models. Do not read "100 % coverage" as "the fauna is fully known".

Last changed: Юрій Струс, 20.10.2026 12:19